Today – on November 3rd, 2020 – the United States of America hold their next election for the presidency amidst a raging pandemic, struggling economy and widespread political and social unrest. Democratic candidate Joseph R. Biden, a previous vice-president to Barack Obama, has held a strong (and steady) lead over Republican incumbent Donald J. Trump in both national polling and – more crucially – polling of vital swing states, such as Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida and Pennsylvania.
Joe Biden has additionally seen success in polling from traditional Republican strongholds: Georgia, a deep-south state that has voted Republican in every election since 1992, has been seen by many as a toss-up. Even conservative fortress Texas, which last voted Democratic in 1976, has seen some favourable polling for Biden’s campaign. On the contrary, Donald Trump’s re-election effort has not seen the same glimmers of a prospective landslide: Trump is falling behind in many states he won in 2016, including the aforementioned swing states, and is far further behind his opponent in terms of both voter margin and undecided voters than he was behind Hillary Clinton in 2016.
As a result, my personal prediction is that Joe Biden will defeat Donald Trump in today’s general election by 334 to 204 electoral votes.Continue reading “Joe Biden will defeat Donald Trump”